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> The Times, Election prediction for Newbury
user23
post Apr 12 2010, 03:30 PM
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The Times Election prediction for Newbury seems to have the Tories winning by a landslide.

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co....ictions/Newbury

87% at the time of posting this.
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TallDarkAndHands...
post Apr 12 2010, 03:38 PM
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QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 04:30 PM) *
The Times Election prediction for Newbury seems to have the Tories winning by a landslide.

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co....ictions/Newbury

87% at the time of posting this.


It states they have an 87% chance of winning. Not that they are going to get 87% of the vote.

rolleyes.gif
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user23
post Apr 12 2010, 03:43 PM
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QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 04:38 PM) *
It states they have an 87% chance of winning. Not that they are going to get 87% of the vote.

rolleyes.gif
Yes you're right actually. It's kind of the same thing but not exactly.
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TallDarkAndHands...
post Apr 12 2010, 03:54 PM
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QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 04:43 PM) *
Yes you're right actually. It's kind of the same thing but not exactly.



errr.. No its not. laugh.gif
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user23
post Apr 12 2010, 04:11 PM
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QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM) *
errr.. No its not. laugh.gif
errr, Yes it is. laugh.gif

Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury? This seems quite high to me.
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TallDarkAndHands...
post Apr 12 2010, 04:13 PM
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QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:11 PM) *
errr, Yes it is. laugh.gif

Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury?


But orginally you said that the Tories were going to get 87% of the vote. This is quite different to them having an 87% (or 1/10 chance in a bookies) of winning Newbury.
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JeffG
post Apr 13 2010, 09:00 AM
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QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05:13 PM) *
But orginally you said that the Tories were going to get 87% of the vote. This is quite different to them having an 87% (or 1/10 chance in a bookies) of winning Newbury.

Just as a point of information, where does he actually say that?
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user23
post Apr 13 2010, 04:54 PM
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QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 13 2010, 10:00 AM) *
Just as a point of information, where does he actually say that?
I didn't but really couldn't be bothered to let him turn this thread into yet another one of his childish arguments.
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Iommi
post Apr 13 2010, 05:05 PM
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QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 13 2010, 05:54 PM) *
I didn't but really couldn't be bothered to let him turn this thread into yet another one of his childish arguments.

Although you did try to make amends...it got terribly close! tongue.gif
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Posts in this topic
- user23   The Times   Apr 12 2010, 03:30 PM
|- - user23   QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05...   Apr 12 2010, 04:14 PM
||- - TallDarkAndHandsome   QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:14 PM) Wo...   Apr 12 2010, 04:19 PM
||- - user23   QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05...   Apr 12 2010, 04:21 PM
||- - TallDarkAndHandsome   QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:21 PM) Un...   Apr 12 2010, 04:25 PM
||- - user23   QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05...   Apr 12 2010, 04:31 PM
|- - Iommi   QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 13 2010, 10:00 AM) Jus...   Apr 13 2010, 11:26 AM
||- - TallDarkAndHandsome   QUOTE (Iommi @ Apr 13 2010, 12:26 PM) Wel...   Apr 13 2010, 11:55 AM
|- - James_Trinder   I don't where Ladbrokes got their 87% odds on ...   Apr 14 2010, 08:35 PM
|- - JeffG   QUOTE (James_Trinder @ Apr 14 2010, 09:35...   Apr 15 2010, 10:30 AM
|- - misc   QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 15 2010, 10:30 AM) i.e...   Apr 15 2010, 12:46 PM
|- - JeffG   QUOTE (misc @ Apr 15 2010, 01:46 PM) As I...   Apr 15 2010, 02:40 PM
- - Iommi   I think it is highly likely the Tories will win in...   Apr 12 2010, 04:28 PM
- - Bill1   Well this well intentioned thread is going well......   Apr 12 2010, 04:46 PM
|- - user23   QUOTE (Bill1 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:46 PM) Wel...   Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM
|- - TallDarkAndHandsome   QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:54 PM) It...   Apr 13 2010, 07:54 AM
- - Iommi   I would find it interesting to know how many true ...   Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM
- - blackdog   87% is actually quite low for this area - the only...   Apr 12 2010, 05:35 PM
- - Roost   To be honest, you're arguing semantics. Don...   Apr 12 2010, 06:09 PM
- - Biker1   Where did Ladbrokes get this 87% odds on Tory win ...   Apr 13 2010, 09:01 PM
- - JeffG   I thought bookies' odds were decided by the am...   Apr 14 2010, 02:10 PM
- - user23   They're now predicting there's a 67% chanc...   Apr 21 2010, 08:32 PM
- - Iommi   QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 21 2010, 09:32 PM) Th...   Apr 21 2010, 09:30 PM
- - Newbury Expat   QUOTE (Iommi @ Apr 21 2010, 02:30 PM) I...   Apr 21 2010, 09:52 PM
- - JeffG   QUOTE (Newbury Expat @ Apr 21 2010, 10:52...   Apr 22 2010, 02:05 PM
- - Newbury Expat   QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 22 2010, 07:05 AM) You...   Apr 22 2010, 04:02 PM


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