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> Labour ahead of the Lib Dems in local polling
x2lls
post Jun 5 2017, 08:33 PM
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QUOTE (Turin Machine @ Jun 1 2017, 11:16 PM) *
Oh yes it is!!



Thumbs up icon.


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x2lls
post Jun 5 2017, 08:42 PM
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QUOTE (Turin Machine @ Jun 4 2017, 05:28 PM) *
Why?



I may have missed an answer, but I did ask @newres why the locals would be upset. No response so far.


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TallDarkAndHands...
post Jun 5 2017, 08:48 PM
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QUOTE (Turin Machine @ Jun 5 2017, 09:24 PM) *
Oh Noes!! I've got the spelling police on my tail! Lawks! What ever shall I do?


All hail the mighty Newres. He is the supreme being.
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je suis Charlie
post Jun 5 2017, 09:59 PM
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QUOTE (newres @ Jun 5 2017, 05:23 PM) *
At least you've nailed your flag clearly to the mast (poor spelling aside).

Oh Newres, why you do this.? 🎎


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x2lls
post Jun 6 2017, 01:49 AM
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QUOTE (newres @ Jun 4 2017, 05:22 PM) *
Silly.


Again, why? Please answer.


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je suis Charlie
post Jun 6 2017, 09:40 AM
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QUOTE (x2lls @ Jun 6 2017, 02:49 AM) *
Again, why? Please answer.

He won't cos he can't.


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TallDarkAndHands...
post Jun 6 2017, 09:46 AM
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QUOTE (je suis Charlie @ Jun 6 2017, 10:40 AM) *
He won't cos he can't.

The only thing he has is abuse when he has lost the argument...
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On the edge
post Jun 6 2017, 11:39 AM
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QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Jun 6 2017, 10:46 AM) *
The only thing he has is abuse when he has lost the argument...


Unlike anyone else round here! laugh.gif


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CharlieF
post Jun 6 2017, 01:41 PM
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QUOTE (blackdog @ Jun 3 2017, 10:33 PM) *
You are aware that the Conservatives are led by a believer in that 'fairy in the sky'?


You don't want to dis the 'Fair Folk' - the fairies don't take kindly to it apparently. You ask the Irish who add multi-million alterations to major civil engineering projects just so they can detour round the raths so as not to offend the ethereal inhabitants. The Icelandic are much the same about the fairies' kin, the elves!

Can't be too careful I say!
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je suis Charlie
post Jun 6 2017, 01:45 PM
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👍


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Claude
post Jun 6 2017, 02:13 PM
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In a Lib Dem leaflet I received yesterday it said Judith Bunting was ahead of the Conservatives in a local poll. I can't remember the source but it might have been something to do with NWN. Can anyone else confirm the leaflet did indeed purport that to be the case, and advise where exactly the poll was conducted and how many were polled?
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Simon Kirby
post Jun 6 2017, 03:11 PM
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QUOTE (Claude @ Jun 6 2017, 03:13 PM) *
In a Lib Dem leaflet I received yesterday it said Judith Bunting was ahead of the Conservatives in a local poll. I can't remember the source but it might have been something to do with NWN. Can anyone else confirm the leaflet did indeed purport that to be the case, and advise where exactly the poll was conducted and how many were polled?

It's here.
Lib Dem 43%
Conservative 28%
Labour 11%
Green 5%
UKIP 3%
Won't be voting 2%
Dave Yates 1%
Not elligable t vote 1%

And yes, that's what the leaflet said (didn't check the numbers, but that was the thrust of it).

I voted first time round, and it just let me vote again, so I don't know the mechanism but it looks like multiple votes are possible.

Electoral Calculus currently have
Conservative 68%
Labour 15%
Lib Dem 14%
Green 2%
Dave Yates 1%

We'll soon see.


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Claude
post Jun 6 2017, 03:42 PM
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QUOTE (Simon Kirby @ Jun 6 2017, 04:11 PM) *
It's here.
Lib Dem 43%
Conservative 28%
Labour 11%
Green 5%
UKIP 3%
Won't be voting 2%
Dave Yates 1%
Not elligable t vote 1%

And yes, that's what the leaflet said (didn't check the numbers, but that was the thrust of it.

I voted first time round, and it just let me vote again, so I don't know the mechanism but it looks like multiple votes are possible.

Electoral Calculus currently have
Conservative 68%
Labour 15%
Lib Dem 14%
Green 2%
Dave Yates 1%

We'll soon see.

(y)
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Simon Kirby
post Jun 6 2017, 03:59 PM
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You might also like this poll from last week asking who yuo think would make the best prime minister.
May 42%
Corbyn 29%
Farron 11%
Lucas/Bartley 3%
Nuttall 3%

Nationally YouGov have the Conservatives with a marginal lead thusly
Conservative 42% and 304 seats
Labour 38% and 266 seats
Lib Dems 9% and 12 seats
UKIP 4% and 0 seats
Green 2% and 1 seat
SNP 4% and 46 seats
Plaid Cymru 0% with 2 seats (neat trick if you can do it)
with 20 other seats in Northern Island and elsewhere.

That's well shy of the 326 May needs for a majority, and having called an election with the intention of winning a landslide and then completely fluffed things up she's unlikely to survive as leader of her party even if the Conservatives do manage to form a minority government.


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Turin Machine
post Jun 6 2017, 04:09 PM
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A, thats Yougov, considered to be unreliable.
B, Ah polls, Brexit, Donald.

it aint over till the fat lady squarks (sorry Diane)
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TallDarkAndHands...
post Jun 6 2017, 04:35 PM
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QUOTE (Simon Kirby @ Jun 6 2017, 04:59 PM) *
You might also like this poll from last week asking who yuo think would make the best prime minister.
May 42%
Corbyn 29%
Farron 11%
Lucas/Bartley 3%
Nuttall 3%

Nationally YouGov have the Conservatives with a marginal lead thusly
Conservative 42% and 304 seats
Labour 38% and 266 seats
Lib Dems 9% and 12 seats
UKIP 4% and 0 seats
Green 2% and 1 seat
SNP 4% and 46 seats
Plaid Cymru 0% with 2 seats (neat trick if you can do it)
with 20 other seats in Northern Island and elsewhere.

That's well shy of the 326 May needs for a majority, and having called an election with the intention of winning a landslide and then completely fluffed things up she's unlikely to survive as leader of her party even if the Conservatives do manage to form a minority government.


The silent majority never say who they are going to vote for.... We shall see on Friday morning.🇬🇧
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Simon Kirby
post Jun 6 2017, 04:42 PM
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QUOTE (Turin Machine @ Jun 6 2017, 05:09 PM) *
A, thats Yougov, considered to be unreliable.

Do you have a reliable source for that? I thought is was relatively reliable, though yes, it is just a poll. Wikipedia tells me that Stephan Shakespeare, the firm's CEO, once stood as a Conservative candidate for Colchester, so if there's bias it might be expected to favour the right. As I say, we'll soon see.


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Simon Kirby
post Jun 6 2017, 04:49 PM
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QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Jun 6 2017, 05:35 PM) *
The silent majority never say who they are going to vote for.... We shall see on Friday morning.🇬🇧

Sure, but it doesn't matter whether the majority of people are disinclined to express a voting preference because you only need a sample in a poll. What does make a difference to the accuracy of the poll is how representative the sample is if the population, and you need the sample size to be large enough so that the statistical error is acceptably small.


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Turin Machine
post Jun 6 2017, 05:20 PM
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One things for sure, we'll all get precisely the government we deserve.
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newres
post Jun 6 2017, 06:20 PM
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QUOTE (Turin Machine @ Jun 6 2017, 06:20 PM) *
One things for sure, we'll all get precisely the government we deserve.

Just keep sending money to racists and cry yourself to sleep.
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