I think it is highly likely the Tories will win in Newbury. The more unpopular the Labour party become nationally, the weaker the Lib Dem vote is in the constituency of Newbury. I think that is so, because some people seem to 'use' the Lib Dems for tactical voting. When the Labour party were at their most popular (in the 90s, and on), the Lib Dem vote was at its strongest locally.
|