 The Times, Election prediction for Newbury |
 Apr 12 2010, 03:30 PM
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#1
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Advanced Member  Group: Members Posts: 4,025 Joined: 14-May 09 Member No.: 50  |
The Times Election prediction for Newbury seems to have the Tories winning by a landslide.
http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co....ictions/Newbury 87% at the time of posting this. |
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Apr 12 2010, 03:38 PM
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#2
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,327 Joined: 15-May 09 From: Newbury Member No.: 60 |
QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 04:30 PM)  The Times Election prediction for Newbury seems to have the Tories winning by a landslide. http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co....ictions/Newbury 87% at the time of posting this. It states they have an 87% chance of winning. Not that they are going to get 87% of the vote. 
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Apr 12 2010, 03:43 PM
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#3
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,025 Joined: 14-May 09 Member No.: 50 |
QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 04:38 PM) It states they have an 87% chance of winning. Not that they are going to get 87% of the vote. Yes you're right actually. It's kind of the same thing but not exactly. |
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Apr 12 2010, 03:54 PM
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#4
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,327 Joined: 15-May 09 From: Newbury Member No.: 60 |
QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 04:43 PM) Yes you're right actually. It's kind of the same thing but not exactly. errr.. No its not. 
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Apr 12 2010, 04:11 PM
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#5
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,025 Joined: 14-May 09 Member No.: 50 |
QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM) errr.. No its not. errr, Yes it is. Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury? This seems quite high to me. |
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Apr 12 2010, 04:13 PM
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#6
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,327 Joined: 15-May 09 From: Newbury Member No.: 60 |
QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:11 PM) errr, Yes it is. Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury? But orginally you said that the Tories were going to get 87% of the vote. This is quite different to them having an 87% (or 1/10 chance in a bookies) of winning Newbury. |
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Apr 12 2010, 04:14 PM
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#7
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,025 Joined: 14-May 09 Member No.: 50 |
QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05:13 PM) But orginally you said that the Tories were going to get 87% of the vote. This is quite different to them having an 87% (or 1/10 chance in a bookies) of winning Newbury. Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury? This seems quite high to me.
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Apr 12 2010, 04:19 PM
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#8
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,327 Joined: 15-May 09 From: Newbury Member No.: 60 |
QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:14 PM) Would you like to discuss the fact that The Times predict there is a 87% chance that the Tories will secure enough votes to win Newbury? This seems quite high to me. Not really. The Times has an opinion that is all - like you or I. |
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Apr 12 2010, 04:21 PM
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#9
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,025 Joined: 14-May 09 Member No.: 50 |
QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05:19 PM) Not really. The Times has an opinion that is all - like you or I. Unless your opinion is based on quantitative data you've collected from a reasonably large sample of voters your and my opinion isn't like the Times' at all.
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Apr 12 2010, 04:25 PM
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#10
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Advanced Member Group: Members Posts: 4,327 Joined: 15-May 09 From: Newbury Member No.: 60 |
QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:21 PM) Unless your opinion is based on quantitative data you've collected from a reasonably large sample of voters your and my opinion isn't like the Times' at all. Really? Do people always tell the truth whan asked how they are going to vote by 'pollsters' How many right wingers are actually going to say they are voting for the BNP? They won't. |
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Posts in this topic
user23 The Times Apr 12 2010, 03:30 PM
user23 QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05... Apr 12 2010, 04:31 PM JeffG QUOTE (TallDarkAndHandsome @ Apr 12 2010, 05... Apr 13 2010, 09:00 AM
Iommi QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 13 2010, 10:00 AM) Jus... Apr 13 2010, 11:26 AM TallDarkAndHandsome QUOTE (Iommi @ Apr 13 2010, 12:26 PM) Wel... Apr 13 2010, 11:55 AM user23 QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 13 2010, 10:00 AM) Jus... Apr 13 2010, 04:54 PM Iommi QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 13 2010, 05:54 PM) I ... Apr 13 2010, 05:05 PM James_Trinder I don't where Ladbrokes got their 87% odds on ... Apr 14 2010, 08:35 PM JeffG QUOTE (James_Trinder @ Apr 14 2010, 09:35... Apr 15 2010, 10:30 AM misc QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 15 2010, 10:30 AM) i.e... Apr 15 2010, 12:46 PM JeffG QUOTE (misc @ Apr 15 2010, 01:46 PM) As I... Apr 15 2010, 02:40 PM Iommi I think it is highly likely the Tories will win in... Apr 12 2010, 04:28 PM Bill1 Well this well intentioned thread is going well...... Apr 12 2010, 04:46 PM user23 QUOTE (Bill1 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:46 PM) Wel... Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM TallDarkAndHandsome QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 12 2010, 05:54 PM) It... Apr 13 2010, 07:54 AM Iommi I would find it interesting to know how many true ... Apr 12 2010, 04:54 PM blackdog 87% is actually quite low for this area - the only... Apr 12 2010, 05:35 PM Roost To be honest, you're arguing semantics.
Don... Apr 12 2010, 06:09 PM Biker1 Where did Ladbrokes get this 87% odds on Tory win ... Apr 13 2010, 09:01 PM JeffG I thought bookies' odds were decided by the am... Apr 14 2010, 02:10 PM user23 They're now predicting there's a 67% chanc... Apr 21 2010, 08:32 PM Iommi QUOTE (user23 @ Apr 21 2010, 09:32 PM) Th... Apr 21 2010, 09:30 PM Newbury Expat QUOTE (Iommi @ Apr 21 2010, 02:30 PM) I... Apr 21 2010, 09:52 PM JeffG QUOTE (Newbury Expat @ Apr 21 2010, 10:52... Apr 22 2010, 02:05 PM Newbury Expat QUOTE (JeffG @ Apr 22 2010, 07:05 AM) You... Apr 22 2010, 04:02 PM |
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